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Question -

A coin is biased so that the head is 3 times as likely to occur as tail. If the coin is tossed twice, find the probability distribution of number of tails.



Answer -

Given head is 3 timesas likely to occur as tail.

Now, let theprobability of getting a tail in the biased coin be x.

 P (T) = x

And P (H) = 3x

For a biased coin, P(T) + P (H) = 1

 x + 3x = 1

 4x = 1

 x = 1/4

Hence, P (T) =1/4 and P (H) = 3/4

As the coin is tossedtwice, so the sample space is {HH, HT, TH, TT}

Let X be a randomvariable representing the number of tails.

Clearly, X can takethe value of 0, 1 or 2.

P(X = 0) = P (no tail)= P (H) × P (H) = ¾ × ¾ = 9/16

P(X = 1) = P (onetail) = P (HT) × P (TH) = ¾. ¼ × ¼. ¾ = 3/8

P(X = 2) = P (twotail) = P (T) × P (T) = ¼ × ¼ = 1/16

Hence, the requiredprobability distribution is,

X

0

1

2

P (x)

9/16

3/8

1/16

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